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Outguessing the Mod
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The process of estimating the hidden information of a game based on previous games, especially those by the same Game Moderator. This is generally a bad idea, as many Game Moderators write specifically to prevent this sort of logic from working.
Don't try to outguess the mod. A good one will have already planned for it, and you'll probably ruin the game either way. If you don't outguess the mod though, you may turn a flawed setup into a playable one.